Arizona State
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
3  Shelby Houlihan SR 18:55
127  Adriana Olivas JR 20:10
222  Kirsten Olling FR 20:27
261  Jenna Maack SO 20:32
662  Cristina Juan Torres JR 21:09
710  Payton Schutte SR 21:12
767  Anna Long SO 21:17
1,099  Miranda Kewley SO 21:39
1,155  Macy Bricks SR 21:43
1,257  Kala Stone SO 21:49
2,550  Chiara Warner SO 23:12
National Rank #24 of 341
West Region Rank #5 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 69.6%
Most Likely Finish 23rd at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 27.7%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 39.1%
Top 10 in Regional 98.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shelby Houlihan Adriana Olivas Kirsten Olling Jenna Maack Cristina Juan Torres Payton Schutte Anna Long Miranda Kewley Macy Bricks Kala Stone Chiara Warner
Roy Griak Invitational 09/27 495 18:36 19:53 20:12 20:14 21:46 21:05 20:58 21:02 25:13 23:12
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 595 18:54 20:16 20:21 20:18 21:24 21:09 21:31
Pac-12 Championships 10/31 718 19:25 20:25 20:43 20:39 20:55 21:06 21:35 22:16 21:42 21:16
West Region Championships 11/14 657 18:49 20:03 20:32 21:09 20:45 21:47 21:15
NCAA Championship 11/22 19:09





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 69.6% 21.5 519 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.9 2.0 2.6 3.5 3.9 4.7 4.8 5.6 4.5 6.1 4.8 4.7 4.7 3.8 3.2 2.3 1.6 0.8
Region Championship 100% 6.1 205 0.1 0.7 4.0 11.7 22.7 22.3 18.5 11.1 5.1 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Houlihan 100% 3.9 8.9 15.1 14.5 12.5 10.4 7.7 7.6 5.3 4.5 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Adriana Olivas 69.7% 103.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kirsten Olling 69.6% 151.0
Jenna Maack 69.6% 165.2
Cristina Juan Torres 69.6% 233.6
Payton Schutte 69.6% 237.1
Anna Long 69.6% 241.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelby Houlihan 1.1 48.0 37.5 10.7 2.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
Adriana Olivas 24.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.3 1.9 1.8 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.3 3.7 3.5 3.2 3.7 3.6 3.9 3.1
Kirsten Olling 41.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.3
Jenna Maack 46.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.8
Cristina Juan Torres 94.8
Payton Schutte 100.5
Anna Long 106.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 2
3 4.0% 100.0% 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 4.0 3
4 11.7% 100.0% 0.5 1.4 2.5 3.0 1.7 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.7 4
5 22.7% 99.3% 0.5 2.7 4.6 5.0 3.4 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 22.5 5
6 22.3% 91.6% 0.5 1.4 2.7 2.9 2.5 2.5 1.8 2.1 1.8 2.1 1.9 20.4 6
7 18.5% 51.6% 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 2.1 9.0 9.6 7
8 11.1% 5.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 10.4 0.6 8
9 5.1% 0.4% 0.0 5.1 0.0 9
10 2.5% 2.5 10
11 1.1% 1.1 11
12 0.2% 0.2 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 69.6% 0.1 0.7 0.3 1.0 2.7 6.5 9.8 10.1 8.5 6.2 5.3 4.4 4.8 4.2 4.9 30.4 0.8 68.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Vanderbilt 99.9% 1.0 1.0
Minnesota 98.1% 1.0 1.0
Boise State 97.6% 1.0 1.0
Iona 84.9% 1.0 0.8
Toledo 67.0% 1.0 0.7
UCLA 62.5% 1.0 0.6
Boston College 55.0% 1.0 0.6
Providence 53.2% 1.0 0.5
William and Mary 52.5% 1.0 0.5
Notre Dame 49.0% 1.0 0.5
Dartmouth 48.8% 1.0 0.5
BYU 42.7% 2.0 0.9
SMU 18.3% 1.0 0.2
Columbia 3.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Cornell 1.3% 1.0 0.0
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
California 0.7% 2.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Colorado St. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Butler 0.0% 1.0 0.0
South Dakota 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Utah 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 8.8
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 14.0